Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.26%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 26.17% and a draw has a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.54%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.3%).
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
53.26% ( 1.42) | 20.56% ( -0.33) | 26.17% ( -1.09) |
Both teams to score 68.64% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.83% ( 0.66) | 29.17% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.82% ( 0.81) | 50.18% ( -0.81) |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.63% ( 0.62) | 11.37% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.91% ( 1.34) | 36.08% ( -1.34) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% ( -0.34) | 22.56% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.85% ( -0.5) | 56.15% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.11) 4-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.26% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.13% Total : 26.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 54 | 13 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
8 | Chelsea | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 51 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
12 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
13 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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