Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 3-1 (5.72%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
46.65% ( 0.26) | 21.87% ( 0.17) | 31.48% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 67.84% ( -0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.14% ( -1.03) | 31.86% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.6% ( -1.22) | 53.4% ( 1.23) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.66% ( -0.3) | 14.34% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.81% ( -0.59) | 42.19% ( 0.6) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.2% ( -0.72) | 20.8% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.53% ( -1.15) | 53.47% ( 1.16) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.65% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.87% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |