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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
New York City

Philadelphia
2 - 1
NY City

FT(HT: 1-0)
Jasson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 0-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 NY City
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 New York City FC

While the Union have been rather inconsistent since the beginning of June, we believe they will sort things out and find their form like we have seen them do many times in the past. Bakrar should help New York in front of the goal when he arrives, but they will need more than one new face to turn around their road woes this season.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
66.29% (0.557 0.56) 20.5% (-0.278 -0.28) 13.21% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 45.18% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (0.528 0.53)48.95% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (0.475 0.48)71.03% (-0.479 -0.48)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.09% (0.337 0.34)13.91% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.66% (0.662 0.66)41.34% (-0.665 -0.66)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.48% (-0.116 -0.12)47.51% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.12% (-0.09 -0.09)82.87% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 66.27%
    New York City FC 13.21%
    Draw 20.5%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 13.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 12.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 8.46% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.075 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.17% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.065 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 66.27%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.5%
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-2 @ 3.61% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 13.21%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs NY City

Philadelphia Union
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
New York City FC
0.0%
14
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-3
Philadelphia
Pereira (30')
Gray (38'), Martins (49'), O'Toole (61')
Carranza (45+1', 45+3'), Gazdag (53' pen.)
Glesnes (29'), Uhre (69'), Bueno (83')
Oct 31, 2022 12am
Jun 26, 2022 11pm
Philadelphia
2-1
NY City
Uhre (9'), Burke (90+6')
Carranza (81')
Castellanos (88' pen.)
Rodriguez (13'), Callens (80'), Castellanos (81'), Moralez (88')
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
NY City
0-2
Philadelphia

Jasson (11'), Rodriguez (52'), Castellanos (73'), Magno (85')
Bedoya (12'), Gazdag (33')
Carranza (14'), Gazdag (67'), Wagner (73'), Burke (74')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Philadelphia
1-2
NY City
Callens (63' og.)
Monteiro (71'), Mbaizo (75')
Moralez (65'), Magno (88')
Moralez (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Toronto136251617-120
6Columbus Crew124621612418
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC135351313018
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Orlando City123451420-613
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
12Nashville SCNashville122641419-512
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132561222-1011
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake136522011923
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd117221811723
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135532320320
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125431813519
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442219319
6Colorado RapidsColorado135442018219
7Houston DynamoHouston125341111018
8St Louis City123811815317
9Austin FCAustin134541515017
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133551514114
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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