Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
66.29% ( 0.56) | 20.5% ( -0.28) | 13.21% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 45.18% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.05% ( 0.53) | 48.95% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.96% ( 0.48) | 71.03% ( -0.48) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.09% ( 0.34) | 13.91% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.66% ( 0.66) | 41.34% ( -0.66) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.48% ( -0.12) | 47.51% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.12% ( -0.09) | 82.87% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 13.03% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 66.27% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.5% | 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.85% Total : 13.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 20 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 23 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 18 |
8 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |