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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Talen Energy Stadium
New England Revolution

Philadelphia
3 - 0
New England

Gazdag (56', 74' pen.), Carranza (88')
Real (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Blessing (4'), Wood (45'), Gil (73'), Altidore (84'), Romney (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 DC United
Thursday, May 18 at 12.55am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 New England
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 New England Revolution

Philadelphia Union might be the underdogs heading into this match, but their recent form overall is something that could give them the edge in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 16.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
63.03% (0.262 0.26) 20.58% (0.394 0.39) 16.39% (-0.654 -0.65)
Both teams to score 52.76% (-2.82 -2.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.07% (-3.02 -3.02)42.93% (3.02 3.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.67% (-3.061 -3.06)65.33% (3.062 3.06)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (-0.851 -0.85)13% (0.852 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (-1.766 -1.77)39.52% (1.766 1.77)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.64% (-2.622 -2.62)39.35% (2.624 2.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.94% (-2.536 -2.54)76.05% (2.537 2.54)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 63.01%
    New England Revolution 16.39%
    Draw 20.58%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
2-0 @ 10.64% (0.726 0.73)
1-0 @ 10.43% (1.025 1.03)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.24% (0.275 0.28)
3-1 @ 6.75% (-0.225 -0.23)
4-0 @ 3.69% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.345 -0.35)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.236 -0.24)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 63.01%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.313 0.31)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.654 0.65)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.342 -0.34)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.58%
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.302 0.3)
1-2 @ 4.54% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.39%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs New England

Philadelphia Union
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
New England Revolution
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
New England
Uhre (75'), Gazdag (79' pen.)
Bedoya (90+4')
Bou (61')
May 29, 2022 12.30am
New England
1-1
Philadelphia
Bou (75' pen.)
Bou (52')
Uhre (77')
Burke (63'), McGlynn (80'), Andres Martinez (90+2')
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 32
Philadelphia
0-1
New England

Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')
Polster (33')
Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')
Aug 8, 2021 11pm
gameweek 24
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Polster (10'), Bou (39')
McNamara (70'), Bunbury (90+3')
Aaronson (31')
Mbaizo (22'), Elliott (54'), Wagner (84')
May 13, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 6
Philadelphia
1-1
New England
Przybylko (88')
Wagner (34'), Monteiro (53'), Przybylko (71')
Bunbury (85')
Bye (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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