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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Milan logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 3
AC Milan

Noslin (64')
Serdar (6'), Baroni (7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hernandez (44'), Pulisic (50'), Chukwueze (79')
Tomori (30'), Hernandez (45'), Reijnders (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 10 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Slavia Prague 1-3 AC Milan
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Hellas Verona 0-2 AC Milan

They may have beaten two fellow strugglers in recent games, but Verona still lack bite in the opposition area, so only tired legs may stop Milan from coasting to victory. Four days on from securing progress in Europe, the Rossoneri should take care of business at Stadio Bentegodi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
26.03% (-0.494 -0.49) 25.57% (0.107 0.11) 48.39% (0.388 0.39)
Both teams to score 51.03% (-0.739 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.78% (-0.766 -0.77)52.22% (0.768 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.08% (-0.664 -0.66)73.92% (0.66499999999999 0.66)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.08% (-0.819 -0.82)34.92% (0.82 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.34% (-0.871 -0.87)71.66% (0.872 0.87)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.146 -0.15)21.59% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32% (-0.224 -0.22)54.68% (0.225 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 26.03%
    AC Milan 48.39%
    Draw 25.57%
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 7.93% (0.065 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.17% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 26.03%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.227 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 11.55% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.86% (0.19 0.19)
1-3 @ 4.76% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.53% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 48.39%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

Hellas Verona
6.6%
Draw
8.8%
AC Milan
84.6%
91
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 5
AC Milan
1-0
Hellas Verona
Leao (8')
Thiaw (24'), Musah (58'), Pioli (69+69'), Pulisic (76'), Florenzi (89')

Faraoni (42'), Bonazzoli (55')
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
AC Milan
3-1
Hellas Verona
Giroud (45+2' pen.), Leao (85', 90+2')
Hernandez (89')
Faraoni (72')
Magnani (49'), Sulemana (60'), Cabal (62'), Depaoli (77')
Oct 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hellas Verona
1-2
AC Milan
Gunter (19')
Veloso (9' og.), Tonali (81')
May 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Hellas Verona
1-3
AC Milan
Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')
Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')
Oct 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
AC Milan
3-2
Hellas Verona
Giroud (59'), Kessie (76' pen.), Gunter (78' og.)
Ballo-Toure (81')
Caprari (7'), Barak (24' pen.)
Ceccherini (5'), Kalinic (25'), Casale (38'), Veloso (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Roma35179962422060
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio35175134537856
8Fiorentina341481251391250
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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