MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 04:37:58| >> :600:733831:733831:
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Sammy Ofer Stadium
Villarreal logo

Maccabi Haifa
1 - 2
Villarreal

Seck (29')
Simic (38'), Refaelov (71'), Cafumana (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Baena (82'), Sorloth (86')
Sorloth (29'), Pacheta (30'), Altimira (69'), Moreno (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Maccabi Haifa and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Maccabi Haifa 1-3 Villarreal

After not featuring in a competitive fixture since early October, it is safe to say that Maccabi Haifa could be slow out of the blocks at their temporary home in Larnaca on Thursday. Villarreal are in a transitional period and do not travel to Cyprus in impressive form, but the offensive threat of Moreno and Sorloth should be enough to secure a much-needed maximum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.

Result
Maccabi HaifaDrawVillarreal
31.83% (-3.642 -3.64) 23.33% (-1.131 -1.13) 44.84% (4.772 4.77)
Both teams to score 62.5% (2.951 2.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08% (4.354 4.35)38.92% (-4.356 -4.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.76% (4.436 4.44)61.23% (-4.437 -4.44)
Maccabi Haifa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)24.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)58.29% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (3.905 3.91)17.73% (-3.906 -3.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.59% (6.352 6.35)48.4% (-6.354 -6.35)
Score Analysis
    Maccabi Haifa 31.83%
    Villarreal 44.84%
    Draw 23.32%
Maccabi HaifaDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.601 -0.6)
1-0 @ 6.08% (-1.336 -1.34)
2-0 @ 4.33% (-0.956 -0.96)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.288 -0.29)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.134 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.456 -0.46)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.83%
1-1 @ 10.5% (-0.84 -0.84)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.286 0.29)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.934 -0.93)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.274 0.27)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.406 0.41)
0-1 @ 7.37% (-0.582 -0.58)
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.288 0.29)
1-3 @ 5.24% (0.81 0.81)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.576 0.58)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.57 0.57)
1-4 @ 2.27% (0.571 0.57)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.406 0.41)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.401 0.4)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 44.84%

How you voted: Maccabi Haifa vs Villarreal

Maccabi Haifa
15.4%
Draw
4.6%
Villarreal
80.0%
65
rhs 2.0
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