MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 19:44:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
PSV

Excelsior
0 - 2
PSV


Baas (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Junior (58'), Bakayoko (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Excelsior
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-1 PSV
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

After the weekend's disappointment in Nijmegen, PSV will be raring to get back to winning ways versus an Excelsior side who are in the midst of a concerning winless spell. The Kralingers have failed to win their last four Eredivisie home matches, and we are fully expecting that statistic to stretch to five matches on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-3 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawPSV Eindhoven
12.66% (-0.327 -0.33) 16.74% (-0.035 -0.04) 70.6% (0.363 0.36)
Both teams to score 56.84% (-0.934 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.11% (-0.694 -0.69)32.88% (0.695 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.41% (-0.80200000000001 -0.8)54.59% (0.804 0.8)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.97% (-0.954 -0.95)38.02% (0.955 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.21% (-0.934 -0.93)74.79% (0.93599999999999 0.94)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.71% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)8.29% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.07% (-0.239 -0.24)28.93% (0.241 0.24)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 12.66%
    PSV Eindhoven 70.6%
    Draw 16.74%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 3.67% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-0 @ 3.05% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 1.47% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.18% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 12.66%
1-1 @ 7.59% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 16.74%
0-2 @ 9.77% (0.268 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 8.11% (0.185 0.19)
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.251 0.25)
1-3 @ 7.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 5.05% (0.092 0.09)
1-4 @ 4.88% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-5 @ 2.52% (0.034 0.03)
1-5 @ 2.43% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 2.36% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-5 @ 1.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-6 @ 1.04% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 70.6%

How you voted: Excelsior vs PSV

SBV Excelsior
4.5%
Draw
15.9%
PSV Eindhoven
79.5%
44
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 17
PSV
3-1
Excelsior
De Jong (13', 17', 69')
Apr 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 28
PSV
4-0
Excelsior
De Jong (12'), Simons (78'), Silva (82'), Gutierrez (87')
Aug 28, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Excelsior
1-6
PSV
Horemans (74')
Veerman (2'), Sangare (29', 45'), Simons (55', 84'), Gakpo (59')
Til (68')
Mar 2, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 24
Excelsior
0-2
PSV
Bergwijn (8', 54')
Lozano (24')
Dec 7, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
PSV
6-0
Excelsior
De Jong (17', 92'), Van der Meer (34' og.), Mattheij (52' og.), Malen (80'), Bergwijn (89')
Sainsbury (60')

Bruins (55'), van der Meer (64'), El Hamdaoui (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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