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Dortmund logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
PSV

Dortmund
2 - 0
PSV

Sancho (3'), Reus (90+5')
Sule (88'), Nmecha (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Borussia Dortmund book their spot in the quarter-finals of the Champions League courtesy of a 2-0 victory over PSV Eindhoven in the second leg of their last-16 contest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.9%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawPSV Eindhoven
30.66% (-0.704 -0.7) 21.46% (0.133 0.13) 47.88% (0.579 0.58)
Both teams to score 68.95% (-0.955 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.77% (-1.071 -1.07)30.23% (1.078 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.53% (-1.298 -1.3)51.47% (1.305 1.31)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.90300000000001 -0.9)20.45% (0.91 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (-1.459 -1.46)52.9% (1.466 1.47)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.67% (-0.208 -0.21)13.33% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.81% (-0.428 -0.43)40.19% (0.437 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 30.66%
    PSV Eindhoven 47.88%
    Draw 21.46%
Borussia DortmundDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.33% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.43% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.66%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.219 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.97% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-0 @ 2.73% (0.163 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.48% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 8.79% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 5.9% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.53% (0.247 0.25)
0-1 @ 5.49% (0.287 0.29)
2-3 @ 4.68% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.72% (0.138 0.14)
1-4 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 2.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.87% (0.055 0.05)
3-4 @ 1.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 47.88%

How you voted: Dortmund vs PSV

Borussia Dortmund
70.4%
Draw
18.0%
PSV Eindhoven
11.6%
361
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
PSV
1-1
Dortmund
De Jong (56' pen.)
Lozano (22')
Malen (24')
Maatsen (42'), Schlotterbeck (45+1')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
International Friendlies
Dortmund
4-1
PSV
Reus (19'), Kagawa (40'), Schurrle (53'), Pulisic (74')
De Jong (57')
rhs 2.0
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