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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Dortmund logo

Union Berlin
0 - 2
Dortmund


Haberer (75'), Vertessen (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeyemi (41'), Maatsen (90')
Ryerson (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund have found things a little hard-going of late, and a surprise home defeat last week may have dented confidence slightly ahead of a fixture against in-form opponents. Union's early-season troubles have been left long in the past, and their steady rise up the table could continue this weekend with another positive result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
35.95% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 24.88% (0.0020000000000024 0) 39.17% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.12% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.84% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)45.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88%59.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.91% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)56.67% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 35.95%
    Borussia Dortmund 39.17%
    Draw 24.87%
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 35.95%
1-1 @ 11.64%
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.12%
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.17%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Dortmund

Union Berlin
19.4%
Draw
20.9%
Borussia Dortmund
59.7%
67
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Dortmund
4-2
Union Berlin
Fullkrug (7'), Schlotterbeck (49'), Brandt (54'), Ryerson (71')
Hummels (30')
Gosens (9'), Bonucci (31' pen.)
Gosens (64')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Dortmund
2-1
Union Berlin
Malen (28'), Moukoko (79')
Behrens (61')
Oct 16, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Union Berlin
2-0
Dortmund
Haberer (8', 21')
Feb 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Union Berlin
0-3
Dortmund

Baumgartl (35'), Mohwald (76'), Knoche (90+2'), Schafer (90+5')
Reus (18', 25'), Guerreiro (71')
Brandt (39')
Sep 19, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
4-2
Union Berlin
Guerreiro (10'), Braut Haaland (24', 83'), Friedrich (52' og.)
Hummels (50'), Witsel (57')
Kruse (57' pen.), Voglsammer (81')
Friedrich (15'), Giesselmann (50'), Ryerson (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Werder Bremen31107144150-937
11Heidenheim30810124352-934
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30710135360-731
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3085172650-2429
16Mainz 05Mainz30512133148-1727
17FC Koln30410162353-3022
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217


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