MX23RW : Tuesday, May 7 18:20:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 29, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Farense logo

Estrela Amadora
0 - 3
Farense


Gaspar (45+1'), Santos (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Duarte (44' pen.), Belloumi (47'), Matias (79')
Duarte (34'), Caseres (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-3 Benfica
Monday, April 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-1 SC Farense

This is a huge match in the relegation scrap, and a win will feel like six points for either side. However, these two are very well-matched, evidenced by the fact that each of their last three encounters have ended level. Both teams will go all out here, but feel they will end up sharing the spoils at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 52.26%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawSC Farense
52.26% (-0.432 -0.43) 23.22% (0.184 0.18) 24.53% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 57.1% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.49% (-0.586 -0.59)43.51% (0.588 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.09% (-0.579 -0.58)65.91% (0.58 0.58)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (-0.366 -0.37)16.67% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.46% (-0.663 -0.66)46.54% (0.664 0.66)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (-0.11 -0.11)31.48% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (-0.128 -0.13)67.86% (0.13000000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 52.26%
    SC Farense 24.53%
    Draw 23.21%
Estrela AmadoraDrawSC Farense
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.126 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 52.26%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.07% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 24.53%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Farense

Estrela Amadora
57.7%
Draw
26.9%
SC Farense
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 14
Farense
0-0
Estrela Amadora
Oliveira (8'), Isidoro (81')
Jaba (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422


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