MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 00:55:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
Excelsior

PSV
4 - 0
Excelsior

de Jong (12'), Simons (78'), Silva (82'), Gutierrez (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zagre (56'), Horemans (66'), Ayoub (69'), Baas (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 FC Twente
Saturday, April 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 SBV Excelsior

PSV are averaging over three goals per game on home turf this term, and we can see them putting on another superb attacking display en route to a routine victory come the sound of the final whistle in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 89.66%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 3.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.25%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawSBV Excelsior
89.66% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15) 7.14% (0.075 0.08) 3.2% (0.072 0.07)
Both teams to score 46.67% (0.437 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.16% (0.062000000000012 0.06)19.83% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.14% (0.088999999999999 0.09)37.85% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.37% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)2.62% (0.008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.81% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)12.18% (0.035 0.04)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.93% (0.452 0.45)52.06% (-0.453 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.95% (0.293 0.29)86.05% (-0.294 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 89.65%
    SBV Excelsior 3.2%
    Draw 7.14%
PSV EindhovenDrawSBV Excelsior
3-0 @ 10.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 10% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 7.28% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 6.53% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.91% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 4.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 4.75% (0.016 0.02)
6-0 @ 4.42% (-0.049 -0.05)
6-1 @ 2.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.043 0.04)
7-0 @ 2.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.037 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.55% (0.026 0.03)
7-1 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
8-0 @ 1.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-2 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 89.65%
1-1 @ 3.25% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 1.93% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 7.14%
1-2 @ 1.06% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 3.2%

How you voted: PSV vs Excelsior

PSV Eindhoven
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
SBV Excelsior
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 1.30pm
Excelsior
1-6
PSV
Horemans (74')
Veerman (2'), Sangare (29', 45'), Simons (55', 84'), Gakpo (59')
Til (68')
Mar 2, 2019 6.45pm
Dec 7, 2018 7.45pm
PSV
6-0
Excelsior
De Jong (17', 92'), Van der Meer (34' og.), Mattheij (52' og.), Malen (80'), Bergwijn (89')
Sainsbury (60')

Bruins (55'), van der Meer (64'), El Hamdaoui (67')
Feb 7, 2018 5.30pm
PSV
1-0
Excelsior
Lozano (17')
Brenet (69'), Bergwijn (76')

Fortes (42'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (82')
Nov 26, 2017 1.30pm
Excelsior
1-2
PSV
Koolwijk (52')
Mattheij (62'), Fortes (86')
Mattheij (13' og.), Lozano (41')
Isimat-Mirin (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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