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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 5, 2023 at 11.15am UK
 
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Excelsior
1 - 4
Sparta

Driouech (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
El Yaakoubi (20' og.), Saito (49'), Lauritsen (56'), Vriends (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Groningen 3-0 Excelsior
Saturday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-3 Utrecht
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Both teams have struggled in front of goal of late, so we expect a low-scoring affair here. Having said that, we are also backing the away side to narrowly come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawSparta Rotterdam
35.72% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 26.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 37.82% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.64% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.82% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)52.18% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.11% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)73.89% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)28.05% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)63.71% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)26.83% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)62.13% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 35.72%
    Sparta Rotterdam 37.82%
    Draw 26.46%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.72%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 37.82%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Sparta

SBV Excelsior
30.8%
Draw
7.7%
Sparta Rotterdam
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Sparta
1-0
Excelsior
Kitolano (90+1')
van Mullem (23')

van Duinen (90')
Jan 21, 2018 11.30am
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Massop (3' og.), Brogno (42' pen.)
Chabot (18'), Brogno (32'), Fischer (85'), Floranus (88')
Messaoud (5'), Van Duinen (44'), Hadouir (86')
Karami (30'), van Duinen (44'), de Wijs (66')
Oct 21, 2017 6.45pm
Excelsior
1-1
Sparta
Massop (54')
Koolwijk (60'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (75'), de Wijs (85')
Goodwin (86')
Dougall (34'), Floranus (71')
Apr 7, 2017 7pm
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Brogno (10'), Pusic (87')
Hasselbaink (24', 48'), Van Duinen (44')
Fortes (50'), Hadouir (89')
Nov 19, 2016 7.45pm
Excelsior
3-2
Sparta
Elbers (26'), Ribeiro (30'), Hasselbaink (65')
Elbers (60')
Brogno (23'), Dumfries (73')
Verhaar (65'), Dumfries (83'), Breuer (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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