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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
42.9% ( 0.08) | 26.81% ( 0.04) | 30.28% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.22% ( -0.2) | 54.77% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.91% ( -0.17) | 76.08% ( 0.17) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% ( -0.05) | 25.29% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.94% ( -0.07) | 60.06% ( 0.07) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.04% ( -0.2) | 32.96% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.46% ( -0.22) | 69.54% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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