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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambuur | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
36.55% ( -0.08) | 25.88% ( -0.03) | 37.57% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.65% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.36% ( 0.12) | 49.64% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.34% ( 0.11) | 71.66% ( -0.11) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% ( 0.01) | 26.36% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.49% ( 0.02) | 61.5% ( -0.02) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.21% ( 0.11) | 25.78% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.26% ( 0.15) | 60.73% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Cambuur | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.25% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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