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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heerenveen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Heerenveen.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Cambuur |
45.25% ( -0.13) | 24.97% ( -0.33) | 29.77% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 55.64% ( 1.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.55% ( 1.64) | 47.45% ( -1.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.33% ( 1.5) | 69.66% ( -1.51) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.99% ( 0.63) | 21.01% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.21% ( 0.96) | 53.79% ( -0.97) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.43% ( 1.16) | 29.56% ( -1.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.41% ( 1.39) | 65.59% ( -1.39) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Cambuur |
1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.32% Total : 29.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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