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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Cambuur |
42.1% ( -0.85) | 27.1% ( 0.25) | 30.8% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 49.44% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.29% ( -0.76) | 55.71% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.14% ( -0.63) | 76.85% ( 0.62) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.86% ( -0.79) | 26.13% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.79% ( -1.07) | 61.2% ( 1.06) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.92% ( 0.04) | 33.07% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.33% ( 0.04) | 69.66% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Cambuur |
1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.09% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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