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FC Twente logo
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Fortuna Sittard
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PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 26, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Philips Stadium
FC Twente logo

PSV
3 - 1
FC Twente

Silva (9'), de Jong (57'), Simons (74')
Sangare (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Misidjan (47')
Zerrouki (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 2-0 Sevilla
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 FC Twente

With the amount of attacking firepower on display, we are anticipating an open and end-to-end game. That said, we can also see PSV just about getting the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 13%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 3-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawFC Twente
70.04% (1.042 1.04) 16.95% (-0.392 -0.39) 13% (-0.656 -0.66)
Both teams to score 57.09% (-0.482 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.94% (0.30099999999999 0.3)33.05% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.21% (0.346 0.35)54.79% (-0.349 -0.35)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.54% (0.30300000000001 0.3)8.45% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.66% (0.749 0.75)29.33% (-0.754 -0.75)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36% (-0.735 -0.73)37.63% (0.733 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.59% (-0.724 -0.72)74.41% (0.72 0.72)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 70.05%
    FC Twente 13%
    Draw 16.95%
PSV EindhovenDrawFC Twente
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.126 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8% (0.218 0.22)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.81% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.94% (0.204 0.2)
4-1 @ 4.83% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.44% (0.135 0.14)
5-1 @ 2.39% (0.086 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.17% (0.02 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.01% (0.069 0.07)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 70.05%
1-1 @ 7.68% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.95%
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-1 @ 3.11% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 13%

How you voted: PSV vs FC Twente

PSV Eindhoven
90.4%
Draw
1.9%
FC Twente
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 5.45pm
FC Twente
2-1
PSV
Cerny (17', 24')
Propper (27')
Til (55')
Max (74'), Sangare (76')
Apr 2, 2022 5.45pm
FC Twente
3-3
PSV
Van Wolfswinkel (13', 19'), Vlap (25')
Sadilek (42'), van Wolfswinkel (59'), Zerrouki (78')
Veerman (35'), Gakpo (53'), Boscagli (90+3')
Ramalho (59'), Sangare (71'), Vinicius (80')
Oct 30, 2021 3.30pm
PSV
5-2
FC Twente
Vertessen (14', 54'), Zahavi (27'), Vinicius (58', 63')
Vlap (13'), Zerrouki (44')
Vlap (42')
Feb 6, 2021 3.30pm
PSV
3-0
FC Twente
Malen (30', 53'), Zahavi (36')

Ilic (75')
Nov 22, 2020 3.45pm
FC Twente
1-1
PSV
Danilo (63' pen.)
Pleguezuelo (68')
Malen (8')
Madueke (57'), Gakpo (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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