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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.42%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 0-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Emmen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
21.9% ( 0.77) | 20.68% ( 0.42) | 57.42% ( -1.19) |
Both teams to score 62.72% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.41% ( -0.98) | 34.59% ( 0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.47% ( -1.11) | 56.53% ( 1.11) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.26% ( 0.1) | 28.74% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.42% ( 0.13) | 64.58% ( -0.13) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.01% ( -0.63) | 11.99% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.59% ( -1.36) | 37.41% ( 1.36) |
Score Analysis |
Emmen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.27% Total : 21.9% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.68% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 3.63% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.1) 2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 57.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |