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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
San Jose Earthquakes

NY Red Bulls
1 - 1
Earthquakes

Barlow (90+17')
Fernandez (11'), Nealis (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Espinoza (80')
Rodrigues (24'), Judson (56'), Marie (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Houston
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes may have made a decent start to the season, but it is still early days, and their terrible record at the Red Bull Arena cannot be ignored. As such, we expect the hosts to eke out a narrow 1-0 victory, which could act as a catalyst to kick-start their season after a very slow start.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
55.05% (1.148 1.15) 23.99% (-0.335 -0.34) 20.96% (-0.814 -0.81)
Both teams to score 50.1% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39% (0.422 0.42)50.61% (-0.423 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48% (0.369 0.37)72.52% (-0.372 -0.37)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (0.59400000000001 0.59)18.26% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.68% (1.001 1)49.31% (-1.004 -1)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.3% (-0.582 -0.58)38.7% (0.58 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.56% (-0.557 -0.56)75.44% (0.55500000000001 0.56)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 55.03%
    San Jose Earthquakes 20.96%
    Draw 23.99%
New York Red BullsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.21% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.79% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.46% (0.142 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 55.03%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 5.42% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 20.96%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 11pm
Earthquakes
1-3
NY Red Bulls
Lopez (69')
Klimala (45+1'), Fernandez (72'), Barlow (90+2')
Casseres Jr (56'), Yearwood (65'), Tolkin (89')
Mar 16, 2019 7.30pm
NY Red Bulls
4-1
Earthquakes
Muyl (51', 71'), Wright-Phillips (85'), Royer (89')
Murillo (81')
Espinoza (5')
Wondolowski (45'), Godoy (47'), Lopez (65')
Oct 7, 2018 3.30am
Jul 20, 2017 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
2-2
Earthquakes
Villa (45'), Moralez (56')
McNamara (23'), Herrera (66'), Allen (91')
Morgan (11'), Vazquez (91' pen.)
Moor (28'), Bono (34'), Morgan (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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