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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 26, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Toronto FC

Earthquakes
0 - 0
Toronto


Marie (30')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-0 Inter Miami
Saturday, March 18 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-0 Toronto

Toronto seem to have a dependable centre-back pairing, but there does not appear to be much depth across the board, and that could present a problem this weekend with some key midfielders being away for the international break. We expect the Quakes to have a decided edge in the midfield and create enough scoring chances to eventually come out on top.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawToronto
58.03% (0.12200000000001 0.12) 21.55% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 20.42% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.23% (0.094999999999999 0.09)40.77% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.84% (0.095999999999997 0.1)63.16% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.2% (0.071999999999989 0.07)13.8% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.86% (0.136 0.14)41.14% (-0.131 -0.13)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)33.64% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)70.29% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 58.03%
    Toronto 20.42%
    Draw 21.54%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 58.03%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.54%
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 20.42%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Toronto

San Jose Earthquakes
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Toronto
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
Earthquakes
Kerr (71'), Osorio (75')
Kerr (87')
Ebobisse (26'), Skahan (90+2')
Yueill (90+5')
Feb 29, 2020 10.30pm
Earthquakes
2-2
Toronto
Rios (53'), Alanis (90')
Thompson (33'), Yueill (70'), Kashia (81')
Pozuelo (40' pen.), Laryea (51')
Altidore (71'), Endoh (90')
May 27, 2019 12.30am
Toronto
1-2
Earthquakes
Laryea (28')
Fraser (61')
Wondolowski (37', 81')
Thompson (33'), Espinoza (64'), Eriksson (69')
Aug 19, 2018 3am
Sep 9, 2017 10pm
Toronto
4-0
Earthquakes
Vazquez (26'), Altidore (48', 64'), Osorio (66')

Godoy (43'), Urena (57')
Ceren (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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