Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 57.85%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
57.85% ( 0.23) | 20.91% ( -0.32) | 21.24% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 60.84% ( 1.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.4% ( 1.69) | 36.6% ( -1.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.25% ( 1.82) | 58.75% ( -1.82) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.5% ( 0.61) | 12.5% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.5% ( 1.26) | 38.5% ( -1.25) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.53% ( 1.06) | 30.47% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.32% ( 1.24) | 66.68% ( -1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.11% Total : 57.85% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 21.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |