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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Sep 4, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Atlanta United

Portland
2 - 1
Atlanta

Moreno (38' pen.), Asprilla (82' pen.)
Asprilla (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

Last Six:
Last Game: Austin 1-2 Portland
Thursday, September 1 at 3.51am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Atlanta
Thursday, September 1 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-0 Atlanta United

 Portland Timbers have got a lot more to play for in this particular game when it comes to what the points could mean, and that should be enough to motivate them to a victory. The hosts have the stronger of the two squads, and their form throughout the season would suggest they are capable of defeating Atlanta United comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawAtlanta United
49.35% (-0.119 -0.12) 23.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 27.45% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 60.04% (0.192 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.09% (0.199 0.2)40.91% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.7% (0.204 0.2)63.3% (-0.203 -0.2)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (0.031000000000006 0.03)16.77% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29% (0.053999999999995 0.05)46.71% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (0.20399999999999 0.2)27.86% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (0.259 0.26)63.47% (-0.25899999999999 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 49.35%
    Atlanta United 27.45%
    Draw 23.2%
Portland TimbersDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 49.35%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 27.45%

How you voted: Portland vs Atlanta

Portland Timbers
84.6%
Draw
11.5%
Atlanta United
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2020 11.30pm
Atlanta
P-P
Portland
Aug 19, 2019 3am
Portland
0-2
Atlanta

Moreira (42')
Gonzalez (14'), Martinez (46')
Larentowicz (24'), Pogba (33'), Barco (45')
Dec 9, 2018 1am
Atlanta
2-0
Portland
Martinez (39'), Escobar (54')
McCann (94')

Chara (80')
Jun 24, 2018 9.30pm
Atlanta
1-1
Portland
Gressel (56')
Escobar (32')
Mabiala (32')
Chara (24'), Mabiala (44')
May 14, 2017 9pm
Portland
1-1
Atlanta
Ridgewell (50')
Guzman (54'), Andriuskevicius (73'), Miller (84')
Gressel (46')
Parkhurst (28'), Carmona (36')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110
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