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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Cincinnati
6 - 0
Earthquakes

Barreal (45'), Brenner (47', 90', 90+5' pen.), Acosta (71' pen.), Kubo (77')
Cameron (57'), Brenner (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Monteiro (8'), Cardoso (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Cincinnati
Thursday, September 8 at 1am in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

Last Six:
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-0 Vancouver
Monday, September 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes

 Both teams play aggressively with plenty of attacking intent, so we expect they will each have their share of scoring opportunities and be able to find the back of the net, given the calibre of strikers each team possesses. The Orange and Blue have been more consistent this year and have a little more attacking depth than their opponents, which should compensate for their defensive deficiencies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
47.89% (0.673 0.67) 23.73% (-0.114 -0.11) 28.38% (-0.564 -0.56)
Both teams to score 58.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27% (0.155 0.16)42.73% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86% (0.154 0.15)65.13% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (0.324 0.32)18.02% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1% (0.559 0.56)48.9% (-0.564 -0.56)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (-0.31200000000001 -0.31)28.14% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-0.395 -0.39)63.82% (0.391 0.39)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 47.89%
    San Jose Earthquakes 28.38%
    Draw 23.73%
FC CincinnatiDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.69% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.45% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 47.89%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 28.38%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Earthquakes

FC Cincinnati
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
San Jose Earthquakes
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2020 10pm
Cincinnati
P-P
Earthquakes
May 5, 2019 3am
Earthquakes
1-0
Cincinnati
Lima (22')
Salinas (13'), Espinoza (15'), Lima (29')
Espinoza (51')

Stanko (6'), Lasso (31'), Alashe (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810
> Full Version


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