Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
38.66% ( -0.04) | 25.69% ( -0.02) | 35.65% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.22% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.12% ( 0.11) | 48.88% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.02% ( 0.1) | 70.97% ( -0.1) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.15% ( 0.03) | 24.84% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.56% ( 0.04) | 59.44% ( -0.04) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.47% ( 0.09) | 26.52% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.27% ( 0.12) | 61.72% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.66% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |