Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Colorado Rapids | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
53.62% ( -0.32) | 24.17% ( 0.14) | 22.2% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.04% ( -0.38) | 49.95% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.06% ( -0.34) | 71.94% ( 0.34) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% ( -0.27) | 18.56% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.18% ( -0.45) | 49.81% ( 0.45) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.89% ( -0.04) | 37.1% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.11% ( -0.04) | 73.88% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Colorado Rapids | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.62% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 22.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 19 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 17 |
7 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 16 |
9 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 8 |