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Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Biuk (3'), Vela (90+5' pen.)
Maldonado (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Trauco (52')
Judson (89'), Beason (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Earthquakes
Monday, May 15 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes

Although San Jose have performed above expectations under their new manager, we expect Los Angeles to have too much individual quality for them this weekend. The MLS Cup holders will be highly motivated by the possibility of heading towards the top of the Western Conference table with a victory, especially having failed to win their last league game.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 11.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
72.2% (-0.405 -0.41) 16.36% (0.464 0.46) 11.44% (-0.06 -0.06)
Both teams to score 54.04% (-2.164 -2.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.54% (-2.577 -2.58)34.45% (2.578 2.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.62% (-2.958 -2.96)56.38% (2.957 2.96)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66% (-0.708 -0.71)8.33% (0.7081 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.95% (-1.793 -1.79)29.04% (1.793 1.79)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (-1.891 -1.89)41.05% (1.891 1.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (-1.728 -1.73)77.59% (1.728 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 72.19%
    San Jose Earthquakes 11.44%
    Draw 16.36%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.672 0.67)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.132 0.13)
3-0 @ 8.75% (0.264 0.26)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.816 0.82)
3-1 @ 7.79% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-0 @ 5.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.84% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.261 -0.26)
5-0 @ 2.7% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.4% (-0.23 -0.23)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.245 -0.25)
6-0 @ 1.12% (-0.087 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.164 -0.16)
6-1 @ 1% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 72.19%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.364 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.42% (0.435 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.36%
1-2 @ 3.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.05% (0.246 0.25)
0-2 @ 1.36% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 11.44%

Head to Head
May 7, 2023 12.30am
Aug 21, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (14'), Cowell (77')
Thompson (30'), Cardoso (31'), Kikanovic (60'), Remedi (74')
Opoku (54')
Ibeagha (42'), Acosta (67'), Sanchez (67'), Cifuentes (86'), Arango (90+6')
Sanchez (79')
May 28, 2022 11pm
Los Angeles
3-2
Earthquakes
Arango (8' pen.), Hollingshead (13'), Rodriguez (47')
Rodriguez (19'), Musovski (76'), Acosta (77'), Crisostomo (90+4')
Ebobisse (16', 31')
Espinoza (17')
Oct 16, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 39
Los Angeles
3-1
Earthquakes
Musovski (3'), Arango (28' pen., 88')
Murillo (81'), Arango (86'), Farfan (90+3')
Fierro (61')
Marcinkowski (28'), Lopez (40'), Judson (90+9')
Sep 26, 2021 3am
gameweek 35
Earthquakes
2-0
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (3'), Lopez (47')
Cardoso (31'), Espinoza (34'), Abecasis (64'), Lopez (86')

Crisostomo (39'), Cifuentes (75'), Edwards (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1273220101024
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125432219319
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
11Dallas113261216-411
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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