Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Newport
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Derby
Friday, November 18 at 8pm in League One
Friday, November 18 at 8pm in League One
We said: Newport County 2-1 Derby County
Newport may not have been on the finest form this season, signalled by the change in management and their precarity at the bottom end of League Two. Derby have the better players on paper, with many of their first-teamers having been Championship players up to very recently. However, the Exiles' history in the FA Cup could well drive the team to victory at Rodney Parade. With the help of the experienced Dolan, Willmott and Day in particular, an upset is definitely on the cards this Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Derby County |
39.74% ( 0.92) | 27.25% ( 0.45) | 33.01% ( -1.37) |
Both teams to score 49.71% ( -1.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.3% ( -2) | 55.7% ( 2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.15% ( -1.66) | 76.84% ( 1.66) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% ( -0.43) | 27.4% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.12% ( -0.56) | 62.88% ( 0.56) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.48% ( -1.9) | 31.52% ( 1.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.08% ( -2.26) | 67.91% ( 2.26) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County 39.73%
Derby County 33.01%
Draw 27.25%
Newport County | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.72) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.73% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.01% |
How you voted: Newport vs TBC
Newport County
42.9%Draw
3.6%TBC
53.6%28
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-12 16:18:25
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Man Utd vs. Arsenal - prediction, team news, lineups
2
Man Utd 0-1 Arsenal
3
West Brom vs. Southampton - prediction, team news, lineups
4
"100% staying" - Barcelona star's agent rules out summer exit
5
Chilwell, Chukwuemeka - Chelsea injury news and return dates before Brighton clash
6
Real Madrid vs. Alaves - prediction, team news, lineups
7
Liverpool star appears to rule out summer move amid exit talk
8
Sunday's Championship predictions including Norwich City vs. Leeds United
9
"Always they fought" - Ten Hag has no concerns over Man Utd character
10
Barcelona 'priced out of move for Man Utd forward'
Sport News 24/7