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EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Newport County

Leicester
3 - 0
Newport

Justin (44'), Vardy (70', 82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Leicester City and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 4-0 Newport County

As impressive as Newport have been on home soil recently, winning away from home has not been so simple for the League Two side, who should not expect miracles at the King Power. Leicester will certainly not field a full-strength XI, but with form on their side and an impeccable defensive record to boast about, we expect the Foxes to cruise through to round four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNewport County
51.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.61% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)49.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (0.036000000000001 0.04)71.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (0.011999999999993 0.01)50.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.042000000000002 0.04)34.95% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.043999999999997 0.04)71.69% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 51.44%
    Newport County 24.1%
    Draw 24.45%
Leicester CityDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.1%

How you voted: Leicester vs Newport

Leicester City
89.9%
Draw
2.5%
Newport County
7.6%
79
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2019 4.30pm
Newport
2-1
Leicester
Matt (10'), Amond (85' pen.)
Ghezzal (82')
Okazaki (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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