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Championship header 2

League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Fratton Park
Derby logo

Portsmouth
0 - 0
Derby


Robertson (12'), Bishop (71')
FT

Sibley (38'), Cashin (63'), Thompson (73'), Dobbin (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 5-0 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby County

 Portsmouth have drawn their last four home league games, and we think that they may have to settle for another point when they face a Derby side who have only lost one of their previous five away matches in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawDerby County
44.05% (-0.768 -0.77) 26.73% (0.178 0.18) 29.22% (0.591 0.59)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.1% (-0.407 -0.41)54.9% (0.409 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.81% (-0.337 -0.34)76.19% (0.33800000000001 0.34)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (-0.557 -0.56)24.77% (0.559 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67% (-0.784 -0.78)59.33% (0.786 0.79)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (0.23700000000001 0.24)33.81% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.255 0.26)70.48% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 44.04%
    Derby County 29.22%
    Draw 26.73%
PortsmouthDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.22%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Derby

Portsmouth
33.6%
Draw
27.5%
Derby County
38.9%
131
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2015 7.45pm
Portsmouth
2-1
Derby
> Match Report
Apr 21, 2012 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
Derby
Varney (74')
Kitson (42'), Varney (55'), Pearce (65')
Buxton (41'), Davies (78' pen.)
Davies (65')
> Match Report
Oct 29, 2011 3pm
Derby
3-1
Portsmouth
Ward (33'), Bryson (3'), Maguire (14')
Shackell (9')
Pearce (79')
Varney (86')
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Derby
Nugent (90')
Hogg (52'), De Laet (85')
Davies (34')
Davies (75'), Cywka (78')
Nov 6, 2010 3pm
Derby
2-0
Portsmouth
Savage (23' pen.), Green (58')
Leacock (45')

Mokoena (7'), Mullins (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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