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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Bristol City

Leeds
2 - 1
Bristol City

James (37'), Piroe (53')
Rodon (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Naismith (45+4')
Williams (6'), Gardner-Hickman (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-0 QPR
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Bristol City

Bristol City have impressed so far this season and will travel to Elland Road with confidence knowing they have the ability to cause problems for any side in the Championship, but we anticipate the Whites being slightly too strong in front of an Elland Road crowd and back them to narrowly come out on top at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBristol City
50.21% (0.831 0.83) 25.1% (-0.055 -0.05) 24.69% (-0.775 -0.78)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.572 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.66% (-0.389 -0.39)51.34% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.84% (-0.34 -0.34)73.16% (0.343 0.34)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.191 0.19)20.46% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (0.302 0.3)52.92% (-0.3 -0.3)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (-0.876 -0.88)35.58% (0.877 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.65% (-0.916 -0.92)72.35% (0.919 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 50.21%
    Bristol City 24.69%
    Draw 25.09%
Leeds UnitedDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 50.21%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.52% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 24.69%

How you voted: Leeds vs Bristol City

Leeds United
65.4%
Draw
23.1%
Bristol City
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Aug 4, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bristol City
1-3
Leeds
Weimann (79')
Pack (47'), Palmer (55'), Taylor (88')
Hernandez (26'), Bamford (57'), Harrison (72')
Forshaw (48'), Hernandez (54')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Bristol City
0-1
Leeds

Semenyo (34'), Wright (61'), Diedhiou (81'), Webster (87')
Bamford (9')
Cooper (19'), Ayling (80'), Alioski (88'), Douglas (90')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Leeds
2-0
Bristol City
Roofe (69'), Hernandez (86')
Alioski (27')

Brownhill (20')
Brownhill (55')
Feb 18, 2018 4.30pm
Leeds
2-2
Bristol City
Lasogga (72'), Roofe (80')
Pennington (44'), Phillips (75')
Diedhiou (11'), Reid (16')
Wright (55'), Brownhill (79'), Pack (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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