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Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
QPR logo

Leeds
1 - 0
QPR

FT(HT: 1-0)

Field (26'), Ainsworth (27'), Kakay (69')
Begovic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Leeds
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-3 Coventry
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

After a disappointing defeat at the weekend, Leeds United will be keen to bounce back quickly, and with home advantage at Elland Road and superior quality all over the pitch, they should have more than enough to take all three points in relatively comfortable fashion on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 20.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
56.81% (2.944 2.94) 22.91% (-0.273 -0.27) 20.28% (-2.669 -2.67)
Both teams to score 52.45% (-2.884 -2.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.02% (-2.004 -2)46.97% (2.003 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.78% (-1.898 -1.9)69.22% (1.897 1.9)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (0.31599999999999 0.32)16.31% (-0.315 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.11% (0.569 0.57)45.89% (-0.569 -0.57)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-3.698 -3.7)37.33% (3.696 3.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (-3.831 -3.83)74.12% (3.833 3.83)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 56.81%
    Queens Park Rangers 20.28%
    Draw 22.9%
Leeds UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.04% (1.01 1.01)
2-0 @ 10.01% (1.009 1.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.05% (0.668 0.67)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.258 -0.26)
4-0 @ 2.74% (0.328 0.33)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.102 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1% (0.128 0.13)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 56.81%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.497 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.483 -0.48)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.196 -0.2)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 6% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.596 -0.6)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.403 -0.4)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.345 -0.35)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.235 -0.24)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 20.28%

How you voted: Leeds vs QPR

Leeds United
80.4%
Draw
8.7%
Queens Park Rangers
10.9%
46
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
2-0
QPR
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Freeman (49')
Luongo (45'), Bidwell (50'), Wells (57'), Scowen (87')

Brown (85')
Jan 6, 2019 2pm
Third Round
QPR
2-1
Leeds
Oteh (23' pen.), Bidwell (75')
Furlong (72'), Kakay (90')
Halme (25')
Halme (20'), Alioski (84'), Baker (88')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Leeds
2-1
QPR
Roofe (45', 53' pen.)
Klich (33'), Phillips (63')
Wells (26')
Scowen (46'), Leistner (52'), Rangel (76'), Lynch (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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