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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Bristol City
4 - 1
Plymouth

Bell (3'), James (8'), Sykes (33'), Cornick (80')
Wells (35'), Tanner (67'), Yeboah (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Randell (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth are on a run of four defeats from five, while they have only drawn once in all competitions this season, but we are backing a stalemate here. Bristol City have shared the points in two of their last three Championship matches and might be forced to settle for another point on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
42.1% (1.5 1.5) 24.93% (-0.121 -0.12) 32.97% (-1.384 -1.38)
Both teams to score 57.26% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.01% (0.192 0.19)45.99% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71% (0.179 0.18)68.29% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (0.80500000000001 0.81)21.84% (-0.808 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (1.212 1.21)55.06% (-1.216 -1.22)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.74199999999999 -0.74)26.74% (0.74 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (-0.989 -0.99)62.02% (0.986 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 42.1%
    Plymouth Argyle 32.97%
    Draw 24.92%
Bristol CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.168 0.17)
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.265 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.191 0.19)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.213 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.11 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 42.1%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.262 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.97%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Plymouth

Bristol City
53.7%
Draw
26.8%
Plymouth Argyle
19.5%
41
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Bristol City
Wells (82')
Jul 27, 2021 6pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Bristol City
Weimann (55')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
0-1
Plymouth

Weimann (86')
Songo'o (27')
Songo'o (17'), Carey (49'), Ladapo (59'), Smith-Brown (67')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
5-0
Plymouth
Hegeler (2'), Baker (14'), Smith (19'), Hinds (39'), Paterson (79')
Mar 16, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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