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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Plymouth Argyle

Preston
2 - 1
Plymouth

Holmes (1'), Millar (25')
Ledson (22'), Holmes (32'), McCann (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hardie (61')
Miller (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 2-1 Plymouth Argyle

Preston North End will be full of confidence after their fast start, and although Plymouth will certainly make it difficult, we back the Lilywhites to get over the line on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Preston North End in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Preston North End.

Result
Preston North EndDrawPlymouth Argyle
42.92% (-0.337 -0.34) 25.18% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 31.9% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 56.01% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)47.44% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.34% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)69.66% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)22.07% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59% (-0.29 -0.29)55.42% (0.292 0.29)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87% (0.155 0.16)28.14% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19% (0.197 0.2)63.82% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 42.92%
    Plymouth Argyle 31.9%
    Draw 25.17%
Preston North EndDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.99% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.9%

How you voted: Preston vs Plymouth

Preston North End
57.7%
Draw
30.8%
Plymouth Argyle
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Preston
Johnson (71' pen.)
St Ledger-Hall (18')
Mawene (90'), Jones (90')
Dec 12, 2009 3pm
Feb 3, 2009 3pm
Oct 21, 2008 3pm
Apr 19, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Preston
Wotton (75' pen.), Mackie (12')
Timar (47')
Chaplow (90'), Mellor (77')
Sedgwick (47'), Mawene (74'), Mellor (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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