Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Chaves |
38% ( 0.02) | 28.05% ( -0) | 33.95% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.52% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.46% ( 0.01) | 58.53% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.89% ( 0) | 79.11% ( -0) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.22% ( 0.02) | 29.77% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% ( 0.02) | 65.85% ( -0.02) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.66% ( -0.01) | 32.34% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.15% ( -0.01) | 68.84% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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