Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Rio Ave |
25.71% ( 0.29) | 25.72% ( 0.03) | 48.57% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 50.32% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.99% ( 0.1) | 53.01% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.39% ( 0.08) | 74.6% ( -0.09) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.38% ( 0.3) | 35.62% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.61% ( 0.31) | 72.39% ( -0.31) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( -0.1) | 21.84% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% ( -0.15) | 55.07% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.71% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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