Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Rio Ave |
37.29% ( 0.25) | 26.99% ( 0.01) | 35.72% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 50.94% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.67% ( -0.04) | 54.33% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.29% ( -0.03) | 75.71% ( 0.03) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.84% ( 0.13) | 28.15% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.16% ( 0.16) | 63.84% ( -0.16) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.9% ( -0.17) | 29.09% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.98% ( -0.21) | 65.01% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 37.29% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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