Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Chaves |
28.88% ( 0.12) | 26.96% ( 0.26) | 44.16% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 48.94% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.09% ( -0.94) | 55.9% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.99% ( -0.77) | 77.01% ( 0.77) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.4% ( -0.41) | 34.6% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.67% ( -0.43) | 71.32% ( 0.43) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.84% ( -0.61) | 25.16% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% ( -0.84) | 59.88% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.2% Total : 28.88% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 44.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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