Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
40.71% ( -0.31) | 27.09% ( -0.15) | 32.2% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 49.97% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.73% ( 0.71) | 55.27% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.51% ( 0.58) | 76.49% ( -0.58) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.33% ( 0.17) | 26.67% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.08% ( 0.22) | 61.91% ( -0.22) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.14% ( 0.69) | 31.86% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.7% ( 0.78) | 68.3% ( -0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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