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Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Molineux
Aston Villa logo

Wolves
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Castro (7'), Young (36' og.)
Coady (25'), Castro (66'), Marcal (90+2'), Neto (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Watkins (86' pen.)
McGinn (38'), Young (90+3'), Konsa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-1 Aston Villa

Jimenez and Neves's absences coupled with Neto's fitness woes and an underwhelming spell of form does not spell optimism for Wolves here, but Villa did not enter the international break in glittering form either. However, Gerrard has plenty of choice when it comes to freshening up his attack and is working with a much fitter squad than Lage, so we can picture Villa returning to winning ways in this derby as Wolves' continental aspirations take yet another hit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawAston Villa
37.24%26.78%35.98%
Both teams to score 51.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54%53.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01%74.98%
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23%27.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65%63.35%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48%28.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71%64.29%
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 37.23%
    Aston Villa 35.98%
    Draw 26.77%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.98%

How you voted: Wolves vs Aston Villa

Wolverhampton Wanderers
30.3%
Draw
22.3%
Aston Villa
47.3%
188
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Aston Villa
2-3
Wolves
Ings (48'), McGinn (68')
Mings (61'), Watkins (81')
Saiss (80'), Coady (85'), Neves (90+5')
Neves (52'), Dendoncker (88')
Dec 12, 2020 12.30pm
Wolves
0-1
Aston Villa

Traore (43'), Dendoncker (77'), Moutinho (83')
Moutinho (90+5')
El Ghazi (90+4' pen.)
Luiz (14'), Cash (29'), McGinn (30'), Targett (81'), Konsa (82'), Grealish (88')
Luiz (85')
Jun 27, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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