MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 01:13:13| >> :120:5002:5002:
Aston Villa logo
Friendlies
Dec 11, 2022 at 2.10pm UK
Villa Park
Chelsea logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Chelsea

McGinn (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brooking (66')

The Match

Match Report

Chelsea lose 1-0 to Aston Villa in their mid-season friendly in Abu Dhabi, with John McGinn's first-half effort proving to be the difference.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly between Aston Villa and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Sunday's mid-season friendly with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Thursday, December 8 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Chelsea

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Chelsea
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
34.48% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 24.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 40.62% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (-0.058 -0.06)45.5% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (-0.055 -0.05)67.83% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.49%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)22.34% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)55.82% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 34.48%
    Chelsea 40.62%
    Draw 24.9%
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 7.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.62%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Aston Villa
25.6%
Draw
10.3%
Chelsea
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Aston Villa
0-2
Chelsea
Mount (6', 65')
Chilwell (33')
Dec 26, 2021 5.30pm
Aston Villa
1-3
Chelsea
James (28' og.)
Martinez (33'), Mings (65'), Konsa (90+2')
Jorginho (34' pen., 90+3'), Lukaku (56')
Alonso (70')
> Preview
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Chelsea
1-1
Aston Villa
 Chelsea win 4-3 on penalties
Werner (54')
Sarr (31'), James (90+2')
Archer (64')
Young (86')
> Match Report
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Chelsea
3-0
Aston Villa
Lukaku (15', 90+3'), Kovacic (49')
Alonso (61')

Ramsey (8'), Mings (28'), McGinn (90'), Targett (90')
May 23, 2021 4pm
Aston Villa
2-1
Chelsea
Traore (43'), El Ghazi (52' pen.)
McGinn (65'), Nakamba (74'), Martinez (81')
Chilwell (70')
Jorginho (45'), Werner (45+2'), Kovacic (49'), Arrizabalaga (90+5')
Azpilicueta (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!