Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for DC United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for DC United.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
43.65% ( 3.23) | 24.87% ( -0.45) | 31.48% ( -2.78) |
Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.75% ( 1.18) | 46.25% ( -1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.46% ( 1.11) | 68.55% ( -1.1) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.77% ( 2.06) | 21.23% ( -2.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.87% ( 3.09) | 54.13% ( -3.09) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.18% ( -1.16) | 27.82% ( 1.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.59% ( -1.51) | 63.41% ( 1.51) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.46) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.65) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.59) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |