Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
57.91% ( -0.79) | 21.42% ( 0.21) | 20.67% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 58.08% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.19% ( -0.17) | 39.81% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.83% ( -0.17) | 62.17% ( 0.18) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.48% ( -0.29) | 13.52% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.42% ( -0.58) | 40.58% ( 0.59) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.16% ( 0.46) | 32.84% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.59% ( 0.51) | 69.41% ( -0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.42% Total : 57.91% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.35% Total : 20.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |