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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Swansea logo

Birmingham
2 - 2
Swansea

Dembele (38'), James (90+5')
Sunjic (29'), Stansfield (45+2'), Hogan (56'), Buchanan (83'), James (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Darling (36'), Lowe (58')
Darling (70'), Allen (76'), Yates (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Swansea City

Birmingham felt lost with Rooney at the helm, but the appointment of Mowbray ticks all the right boxes, and he will be desperate to begin with a win on Saturday. Swansea are also hoping for a new manager bounce, but we believe that a fired-up St Andrew's crowd will witness a match to remember in the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
36.06% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 26.09% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 37.85% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.92% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)50.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)72.48% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)27.08% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)62.45% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)26.06% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.9% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)61.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 36.06%
    Swansea City 37.85%
    Draw 26.08%
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 36.06%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.85%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Swansea

Birmingham City
68.8%
Draw
3.1%
Swansea City
28.1%
32
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Swansea
1-1
Birmingham
Yates (76')
Paterson (2')
Dembele (45')
T (27'), Sunjic (87'), Miyoshi (90+4'), Bielik (90+5')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swansea
3-4
Birmingham
Piroe (23', 58'), Cullen (29')
Hogan (14' pen.), Chong (55'), Jutkiewicz (90'), Trusty (90+7')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
2-2
Swansea
Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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