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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Birmingham logo

Swansea
1 - 1
Birmingham

Yates (76')
Paterson (2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dembele (45')
T (27'), Sunjic (87'), Miyoshi (90+4'), Bielik (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Peterborough 3-2 Birmingham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Birmingham City

Swansea look like a force to be reckoned with this term after adding the goals of Yates to their attack - could 2023-24 finally be the campaign that the Swans earn promotion? Birmingham's route to the Premier League is unlikely to be complete by May, and supporters may have to be a little patient before seeing significant improvements on the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
48.05% (0.416 0.42) 25.09% (0.154 0.15) 26.85% (-0.572 -0.57)
Both teams to score 53.19% (-0.948 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (-1.032 -1.03)49.7% (1.03 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28% (-0.93 -0.93)71.72% (0.928 0.93)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)20.71% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-0.377 -0.38)53.31% (0.376 0.38)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-0.992 -0.99)32.91% (0.99 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (-1.118 -1.12)69.48% (1.115 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 48.05%
    Birmingham City 26.85%
    Draw 25.09%
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.229 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 48.05%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.281 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.85%

How you voted: Swansea vs Birmingham

Swansea City
76.3%
Draw
7.9%
Birmingham City
15.8%
38
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swansea
3-4
Birmingham
Piroe (23', 58'), Cullen (29')
Hogan (14' pen.), Chong (55'), Jutkiewicz (90'), Trusty (90+7')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
2-2
Swansea
Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')
Apr 2, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 39
Birmingham
1-0
Swansea
Hogan (90+1' pen.)
Seddon (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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