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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Swansea logo

Norwich
0 - 3
Swansea


Gibbs (81')
McCallum (42')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Grimes (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Norwich
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 4-2 Preston
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Swansea City

Both teams know that victory is realistically the only option on Saturday, and that should lead to a thrilling spectacle. While Norwich may hold the lead at some point, Swansea are playing with a renewed belief that could result in them earning a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
41.47% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 26.16%32.37% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)51.48% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.012 -0.01)73.28% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (0.032000000000004 0.03)59.02% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)29.83% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)65.91% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.47%
    Swansea City 32.37%
    Draw 26.16%
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.47%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.37%

How you voted: Norwich vs Swansea

Norwich City
48.5%
Draw
12.1%
Swansea City
39.4%
33
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Gibson (9')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
gameweek 11
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Buendia (54')
Buendia (80')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
gameweek 18
Swansea
1-4
Norwich
James (41')
Van der Hoorn (16' og.), Buendia (24'), Stiepermann (37'), Pukki (60')
Aarons (56'), Lewis (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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