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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Birmingham City |
44.38% ( 0.13) | 26.21% ( -0.02) | 29.41% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 51.45% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2% ( 0.02) | 52.8% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.57% ( 0.02) | 74.42% ( -0.02) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.32% ( 0.07) | 23.68% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.2% ( 0.1) | 57.79% ( -0.1) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.42% ( -0.07) | 32.58% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.88% ( -0.08) | 69.11% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.38% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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