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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City

Birmingham
0 - 0
Bristol City

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-4 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Bristol City

Birmingham's defence has been the leakiest in the Championship since Rooney took charge, and with injuries meaning that they cannot immediately change the personnel in their backline, it could be another scary watch for Bluenoses on Friday. Bristol City will be full of confidence as they head to St Andrew's following their Vicarage Road romp, and although we do not believe that the scoreline will be as convincing, we expect the Robins to earn maximum points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
34.87% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 26.79% (0.0040000000000013 0) 38.34% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.41% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)53.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)75.09% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)29.26% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.22% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 34.87%
    Bristol City 38.34%
    Draw 26.78%
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 34.87%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 38.34%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bristol City

Birmingham City
15.0%
Draw
20.0%
Bristol City
65.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Bristol City
0-2
Birmingham

Dickie (38'), Dickie (76')
Dickie (76')
Miyoshi (45+3'), Jutkiewicz (84')
Sunjic (20'), Buchanan (52')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Bristol City
4-2
Birmingham
Semenyo (17'), Wells (21'), Sykes (47', 66')
Deeney (34' pen.), Khadra (76')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
3-0
Bristol City
Trusty (3', 43'), Sanderson (75')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Bristol City
1-2
Birmingham
Scott (48')
Klose (31'), Scott (86')
Chong (2'), Gordon (13')
Gardner (90+3')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Birmingham
3-0
Bristol City
McGree (14'), Hogan (68'), Gardner (77')

Bakinson (82'), Weimann (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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