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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Bristol City

Blackburn
2 - 1
Bristol City

Sigurdsson (35'), Wharton (52')
Carter (22'), Brittain (85'), Szmodics (88'), Travis (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sykes (60')
Knight (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Bristol City

Blackburn were taught a lesson of ruthlessness by Farke's Leeds on the weekend, and we feel that Rovers could put their learnings into practice against Bristol City. The Robins have failed to see a drastic improvement results-wise since the appointment of Manning, so we are expecting a loss for the visitors at Ewood Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
42.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.45% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01) 31.62% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.98% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.27% (0.037999999999997 0.04)48.73% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16% (0.034000000000002 0.03)70.84% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)22.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (0.012999999999998 0.01)56.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.032000000000011 0.03)28.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04)64.84% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 42.92%
    Bristol City 31.62%
    Draw 25.45%
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.62%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Bristol City

Blackburn Rovers
81.8%
Draw
6.1%
Bristol City
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Blackburn
2-3
Bristol City
Dolan (71'), Brereton Diaz (90+3')
Wharton (7'), Pickering (67')
Conway (42'), Wells (55', 73')
James (57'), Scott (58')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Blackburn
0-1
Bristol City

Khadra (49')
Weimann (90+2')
Scott (26'), Bentley (87'), Weimann (88')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Bristol City
1-1
Blackburn
O'Dowda (34')
Williams (71'), Massengo (74')
Brereton Diaz (75')
Nyambe (33'), Rothwell (82')
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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