Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Genoa |
47.58% | 24.19% | 28.23% |
Both teams to score 57.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% | 44.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% | 67.23% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.02% | 18.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.48% | 50.52% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.66% | 29.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.68% | 65.32% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Genoa |
2-1 @ 9.43% 1-0 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.25% Total : 47.58% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-1 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.35% Total : 28.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |