Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Napoli in this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Napoli |
21.74% | 22.09% | 56.17% |
Both teams to score 57.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.5% | 41.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.1% | 63.9% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.2% | 32.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.63% | 69.37% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.37% | 14.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.24% | 42.76% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 5.73% 1-0 @ 5.35% 2-0 @ 2.98% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.39% Total : 21.74% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 5.51% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-1 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 8.87% 1-3 @ 6.33% 0-3 @ 5.68% 2-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 3.04% 0-4 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 1.7% 1-5 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.98% Total : 56.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |